Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000144 0.000161 0.000179 0.000199 0.000222 0.000247 0.000276
2025-08-10 0.000117 0.000139 0.000164 0.000194 0.000231 0.000272 0.000324
2025-08-17 0.000099 0.000125 0.000155 0.000194 0.000243 0.000301 0.000378
2025-08-24 0.000085 0.000112 0.000145 0.000191 0.000250 0.000325 0.000426
2025-08-31 0.000074 0.000102 0.000138 0.000189 0.000258 0.000350 0.000479
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133 0.000189 0.000268 0.000376 0.000535
2025-09-14 0.000059 0.000088 0.000127 0.000187 0.000275 0.000398 0.000587
2025-09-21 0.000054 0.000083 0.000125 0.000190 0.000287 0.000430 0.000654
2025-09-28 0.000050 0.000079 0.000122 0.000191 0.000298 0.000459 0.000719
2025-10-05 0.000046 0.000074 0.000118 0.000189 0.000304 0.000481 0.000776
2025-10-12 0.000043 0.000072 0.000117 0.000193 0.000319 0.000518 0.000858
2025-10-19 0.000040 0.000068 0.000114 0.000194 0.000328 0.000545 0.000926
2025-10-26 0.000037 0.000065 0.000111 0.000194 0.000336 0.000574 0.001000
2025-11-02 0.000034 0.000061 0.000107 0.000192 0.000341 0.000596 0.001065
2025-11-09 0.000032 0.000059 0.000106 0.000193 0.000352 0.000629 0.001152
2025-11-16 0.000029 0.000055 0.000102 0.000190 0.000355 0.000650 0.001219
2025-11-23 0.000027 0.000053 0.000099 0.000189 0.000362 0.000676 0.001297
2025-11-30 0.000025 0.000050 0.000097 0.000189 0.000370 0.000706 0.001384
2025-12-07 0.000024 0.000048 0.000094 0.000188 0.000374 0.000729 0.001460
2025-12-14 0.000023 0.000047 0.000093 0.000190 0.000387 0.000770 0.001573
2025-12-21 0.000021 0.000045 0.000092 0.000191 0.000397 0.000805 0.001679
2025-12-28 0.000020 0.000043 0.000090 0.000190 0.000402 0.000831 0.001766
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000042 0.000090 0.000194 0.000419 0.000881 0.001909